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CF Badalona vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Busquets L.
64' Event
Martinez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CF Badalona and Peralada finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CF Badalona
20%
Draws
38%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Badalona come out ahead of Peralada on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 11%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona Peralada
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Peralada
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs CF Badalona
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Peralada
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs CF Badalona
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs CF Badalona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Busquets L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 30 / 100
Peralada 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Badalona found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Peralada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

CF Badalona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS Peralada
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
15 Aug
CF Badalona
0 : 2
Espanyol B
08 Aug
L Hospitalet
2 : 3
CF Badalona
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
Page 1 of 7

Peralada

(Away)
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
19 Apr
Peralada
1 : 0
UE Vic
12 Apr
L Hospitalet
3 : 0
Peralada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)