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CF Badalona vs Sestao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
2 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alonso M.
42' Event
Argente G.
94' Event
Larrosa T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CF Badalona
20%
Draws
52%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sestao come out ahead of CF Badalona on wins alone.
  • Sestao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Sestao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sestao, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 18%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona Sestao
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
CF Badalona vs Sestao
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larrosa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Argente G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bengoetxea A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 23 / 100
Sestao 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

CF Badalona found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Sestao has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CF Badalona remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS Sestao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
01 Nov
L Hospitalet
0 : 2
CF Badalona
25 Oct
CF Badalona
1 : 4
Cornella
18 Oct
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
CF Badalona
11 Oct
CF Badalona
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
Page 1 of 7

Sestao

(Away)
01 Nov
Coruxo FC
0 : 2
Sestao
27 Oct
Sestao
4 : 3
Espanyol
24 Oct
Sestao
1 : 0
Arosa SC
18 Oct
Marino De Luanco
0 : 1
Sestao
14 Oct
Sestao
3 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Recreativo Huelva 3
Navalcarnero 2
Final
Sestao -
Recreativo Huelva -