Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Badalona vs Sestao

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
2 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alonso M.
42' Event
Argente G.
94' Event
Larrosa T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CF Badalona
15%
Draws
85%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Badalona come out ahead of Sestao on wins alone.
  • Sestao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • CF Badalona have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sestao, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 19%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona Sestao
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
CF Badalona vs Sestao
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larrosa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Argente G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bengoetxea A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 10 / 100
Sestao 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

CF Badalona found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sestao has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS Sestao
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
05 Sept
FC Martinenc
2 : 1
CF Badalona
29 Aug
Terrassa
4 : 0
CF Badalona
15 Aug
CF Badalona
0 : 2
Espanyol B
Page 1 of 6

Sestao

(Away)
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
1/8-finals
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Atletico Saguntino -
Navalcarnero -
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -