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CF Badalona vs Som Maresme

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Sun, Mar 8, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Badalona host Som Maresme in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. Som Maresme are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: CF Badalona at 1.26 goals for, 1.26 against; Som Maresme at 1.2 for, 1.6 against. Head-to-head, CF Badalona have won 0 to Som Maresme's 0, with 5 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Som Maresme. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CF Badalona
25%
Draws
35%
Som Maresme
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Badalona come out ahead of Som Maresme on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Som Maresme taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 20%
Som Maresme Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona Som Maresme
Matches Played 35 10
Wins 15 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.26 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Som Maresme
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Som Maresme vs CF Badalona
0:0
Feb 13, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Som Maresme vs CF Badalona
2:2
Nov 15, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CF Badalona vs Som Maresme
0:0
May 17, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CF Badalona vs Som Maresme
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 28 / 100
Som Maresme 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona Som Maresme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Som Maresme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CF Badalona scored in 69% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

CF Badalona went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS Som Maresme
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
05 Sept
FC Martinenc
2 : 1
CF Badalona
29 Aug
Terrassa
4 : 0
CF Badalona
Page 1 of 7

Som Maresme

(Away)

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)