Sport Picks
CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Mostoles
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada 
Match Events
25'
25'
Alcazar Perez A.
31'
31'
Alcazar Perez A.
54'
54'
Moreno A.
AI Match Summary
CD Mostoles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mostoles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than CF Fuenlabrada.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CF Fuenlabrada Clean Sheet 19%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Fuenlabrada | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Mostoles
1:3
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CF Fuenlabrada
1:0
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Mostoles
4:2
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CF Fuenlabrada
1:1
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CF Fuenlabrada vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Fuenlabrada Compare
Top Goalscorer Esnaider F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Alcazar Perez A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Moreno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Fuenlabrada 32 / 100
CD Mostoles 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Fuenlabrada CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Mostoles has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
CF Fuenlabrada went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
CF Fuenlabrada found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
CF Fuenlabrada VS CD Mostoles
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Fuenlabrada
(Home) 19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1 AD Torrejon
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0 CF Fuenlabrada
03 May
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 CF Fuenlabrada
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1 AD Torrejon
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
28 Mar
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 1 Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
29 Mar
Parla
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Las Rozas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Leganes B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 5 |
| 7 | Union Adarve | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 8 | Trival Valderas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 9 | CP Parla Escuela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 10 | CF Fuenlabrada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Cala Pozuelo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 13 | AD Torrejon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 17 | Real Aranjuez | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | Siello | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
