Sport Picks

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CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Granma play FC Guantanamo in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. FC Guantanamo averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, CF Granma won 0, FC Guantanamo won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2025 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for CF Granma and 1.75 for FC Guantanamo. This points to a FC Guantanamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CF Granma
21%
Draws
54%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • CF Granma picked up more points recently compared to FC Guantanamo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 12%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.89 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:6
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Guantanamo
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
3:0
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs CF Granma
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 25 / 100
FC Guantanamo 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Guantanamo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CF Granma attacking → ← attacking FC Guantanamo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Granma scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

FC Guantanamo let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

CF Granma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Guantanamo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 59
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228