Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Granma vs FC Holguin

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Granma play FC Holguin in the Liga Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, CF Granma averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. FC Holguin averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, CF Granma won 1, FC Holguin won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 24, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for CF Granma and 1.31 for FC Holguin. This points to a FC Holguin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CF Granma
29%
Draws
42%
FC Holguin
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: FC Holguin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • CF Granma picked up more points recently compared to FC Holguin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 18%
FC Holguin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Holguin
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Holguin vs CF Granma
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Holguin
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 30 / 100
FC Holguin 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Holguin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Holguin or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CF Granma attacking → ← attacking FC Holguin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Granma scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

FC Holguin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CF Granma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Holguin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228