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CF Granma vs FC Sancti Spiritus

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between CF Granma and FC Sancti Spiritus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Granma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CF Granma
39%
Draws
31%
FC Sancti Spiritus
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Granma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CF Granma here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
CF Granma Clean Sheet 68%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Granma FC Sancti Spiritus
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Sancti Spiritus
1:0
Apr 16, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs CF Granma
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Nacional
CF Granma vs FC Sancti Spiritus
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Granma 41 / 100
FC Sancti Spiritus 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Granma FC Sancti Spiritus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Sancti Spiritus conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Difficult form: FC Sancti Spiritus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CF Granma scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Granma VS FC Sancti Spiritus
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122