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Stadium Background

CF Illueca vs UD Casetas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ibanez H.
42' Event
De Diego D.
44' Event
Marin D.

AI Match Summary

CF Illueca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Illueca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CF Illueca
20%
Draws
46%
UD Casetas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CF Illueca have won more games recently than UD Casetas.
  • Model gives CF Illueca a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CF Illueca Clean Sheet 13%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Illueca UD Casetas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs UD Casetas
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs CF Illueca
1:1
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs CF Illueca
0:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CF Illueca vs UD Casetas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Illueca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Diego D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UD Casetas Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Illueca 35 / 100
UD Casetas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Illueca UD Casetas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Casetas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

CF Illueca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CF Illueca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Illueca VS UD Casetas
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Illueca

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Belchite 97
0 : 3
CF Illueca
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
12 Sept
Brea
3 : 0
CF Illueca
06 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
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UD Casetas

(Away)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)