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CF Intercity vs Castellonense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Intercity host Castellonense in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: CF Intercity at 1.07 goals for, 1.48 against; Castellonense at 1.46 for, 0.89 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Castellonense. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CF Intercity
30%
Draws
42%
Castellonense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Castellonense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CF Intercity Clean Sheet 18%
Castellonense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Intercity Castellonense
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Intercity 36 / 100
Castellonense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Intercity Castellonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Intercity's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: CF Intercity stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Castellonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Castellonense has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Intercity VS Castellonense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Intercity

(Home)
11 Oct
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
CF Intercity
04 Oct
CF Intercity
1 : 1
Yeclano
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
Page 1 of 6

Castellonense

(Away)
11 Oct
Deportiva Minera
3 : 2
Castellonense
04 Oct
Castellonense
3 : 0
Real Murcia B
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
2 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 La Nucia 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Ciudad Cieza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
7 Alcoyano 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 CF Intercity 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Lorca Deportiva 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
11 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
13 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
14 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
15 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)