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CF Montreal vs Toronto FC

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Loturi V. In: Herbers F.
Out: Loturi V.
60'
Sub
Piette S. In: Pereira D.
Out: Piette S.
61'
Sub
Franklin K. In: Vilsaint J.
Out: Franklin K.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between CF Montreal and Toronto FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CF Montreal
6%
Draws
4%
Toronto FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CF Montreal come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives CF Montreal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 17%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Toronto FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
1:1
May 17, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
1:6
Apr 30, 2025 Championship
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 84 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Toronto FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toronto FC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

CF Montreal found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Toronto FC
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1473418:1624
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10St. Louis City1554619:2219
11Portland Timbers1552827:2917
12San Diego FC1545630:2717
13Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City15321016:3911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1543822:3115
12Toronto FC1536622:2915
13Orlando City1542923:4414
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307