Sport Picks
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC 
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Goodwin A. In: Toklomati I.
Out: Goodwin A.
34'
34'
Rios D.
Assist: Petrasso L.
37'
37'
Abada L.
Assist: Saint-Maximin A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between CF Montreal and Charlotte FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charlotte FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- CF Montreal haven't matched Charlotte FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Charlotte FC a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Montreal | Charlotte FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal
1:4
Apr 12, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Montreal Compare
Top Goalscorer Rios D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Charlotte FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Abada L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toklomati I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Montreal 14 / 100
Charlotte FC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Montreal Charlotte FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Montreal found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Charlotte FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CF Montreal VS Charlotte FC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Montreal
(Home) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
22 Aug
CF Montreal
2 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 4
Charlotte FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2 FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
29 Aug
Atlanta United
0 : 2 Charlotte FC
19 Aug
Toronto FC
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
