Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs DC United

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hopkins J.
49'
Kurokawa K.
50' Event
Owusu P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between CF Montreal and DC United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CF Montreal
20%
Draws
50%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: DC United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched CF Montreal's recent run of results.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 15%
DC United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal DC United
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
1:1
May 23, 2026 MLS
DC United vs CF Montreal
4:4
Aug 16, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
DC United vs CF Montreal
0:0
May 29, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Baribo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 35 / 100
DC United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DC United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

CF Montreal scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

DC United let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: CF Montreal stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS DC United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
DC United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 15 4 6 56:23 49
2 Houston Dynamo 26 13 5 8 34:30 44
3 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
4 FC Dallas 26 12 8 6 49:42 44
5 San Jose Earthquakes 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Los Angeles FC 27 11 8 8 43:29 41
7 Colorado Rapids 26 11 3 12 36:35 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 27 8 9 10 34:42 33
9 Portland Timbers 26 9 5 12 47:48 32
10 San Diego FC 26 8 7 11 44:44 31
11 Austin FC 26 7 9 10 32:44 30
12 Real Salt Lake 25 8 5 12 37:42 29
13 Seattle Sounders 24 7 8 9 28:33 29
14 Minnesota United 26 7 8 11 39:46 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 25 5 3 17 29:63 18
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 26 17 6 3 53:21 57
2 New England Revolution 26 14 4 8 45:33 46
3 Inter Miami 26 12 10 4 63:48 46
4 Charlotte FC 26 12 7 7 47:37 43
5 Chicago Fire 25 11 6 8 45:38 39
6 Philadelphia Union 26 10 6 10 50:42 36
7 Orlando City 26 10 4 12 46:60 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 FC Cincinnati 25 8 9 8 54:61 33
10 New York City 26 8 8 10 39:34 32
11 DC United 25 6 11 8 31:39 29
12 Toronto FC 26 6 11 9 39:49 29
13 Columbus Crew 26 7 5 14 37:42 26
14 Atlanta United 26 7 5 14 30:43 26
15 CF Montreal 26 5 6 15 31:53 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)