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Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Hopkins J.
49'
Kurokawa K.
50' Event
Owusu P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between CF Montreal and DC United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CF Montreal
20%
Draws
0%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched CF Montreal's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on CF Montreal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 15%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal DC United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.72 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
1:1
May 23, 2026 MLS
DC United vs CF Montreal
4:4
Aug 16, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 MLS
DC United vs CF Montreal
0:0
May 29, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs DC United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Baribo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 48 / 100
DC United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Montreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DC United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

DC United lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CF Montreal's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS DC United
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
31 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
CF Montreal
28 Oct
Charlotte FC
4 : 0
CF Montreal
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
31 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
DC United
28 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
DC United
24 Oct
DC United
0 : 2
FC Cincinnati
21 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
DC United
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)