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Stadium Background

CF Montreal vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal host Nashville SC in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nashville SC have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while CF Montreal have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Nashville SC slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.00, favoring Nashville SC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CF Montreal
15%
Draws
58%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nashville SC lately — more wins on the board than CF Montreal.
  • Win probability leans Nashville SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Nashville SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
3:0
May 25, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC
0:0
May 5, 2024 MLS
Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 10 / 100
Nashville SC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Nashville SC conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

CF Montreal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Nashville SC
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
14 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 3
Atlanta United
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
15 Oct
Nashville SC
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 15 7 7 61:30 52
2 St. Louis City 29 14 9 6 54:38 51
3 FC Dallas 29 14 8 7 53:45 50
4 San Jose Earthquakes 29 13 8 8 51:41 47
5 Houston Dynamo 29 13 7 9 39:37 46
6 Los Angeles FC 30 12 9 9 47:32 45
7 Seattle Sounders 29 11 8 10 38:36 41
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 10 9 11 41:50 39
9 Colorado Rapids 29 11 5 13 41:41 38
10 Portland Timbers 29 9 6 14 51:56 33
11 Real Salt Lake 29 9 6 14 42:47 33
12 San Diego FC 29 8 9 12 51:54 33
13 Minnesota United 29 7 10 12 44:53 31
14 Austin FC 29 7 10 12 37:54 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 29 6 4 19 35:72 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 20 6 3 63:22 66
2 Inter Miami 29 14 10 5 70:50 52
3 New England Revolution 29 15 4 10 48:41 49
4 Chicago Fire 29 14 6 9 52:43 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 13 7 9 51:43 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 13 6 10 59:46 45
7 Orlando City 29 11 5 13 54:69 38
8 New York Red Bulls 29 10 6 13 39:54 36
9 FC Cincinnati 28 9 9 10 60:68 36
10 New York City 29 8 9 12 42:40 33
11 Toronto FC 29 7 12 10 44:55 33
12 DC United 28 7 12 9 36:47 33
13 Columbus Crew 29 9 5 15 44:47 32
14 Atlanta United 29 8 6 15 36:48 30
15 CF Montreal 29 6 6 17 35:59 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)