Sport Picks
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC 
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Loturi V. In: Herbers F.
Out: Loturi V.
60'
60'
Sub
Piette S. In: Pereira D.
Out: Piette S.
61'
61'
Sub
Franklin K. In: Vilsaint J.
Out: Franklin K.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between CF Montreal and Toronto FC finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Montreal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CF Montreal come out ahead of Toronto FC on wins alone.
- Model gives CF Montreal a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 12%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Montreal | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2:1
Jul 16, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
1:1
May 17, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC
1:6
Apr 30, 2025 Championship
Toronto FC vs CF Montreal
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Montreal 74 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Montreal Toronto FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CF Montreal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Toronto FC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: CF Montreal scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Toronto FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
CF Montreal VS Toronto FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Montreal
(Home) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
22 Aug
CF Montreal
2 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 4
Toronto FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1 CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1 Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0 Toronto FC
22 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Toronto FC
31 Jul
New York City
1 : 1 Toronto FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
