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CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Canada Canada

Championship Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
CF Montreal Logo

CF Montreal

2 - 1
FT
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Badwal J.
21'
Blackmon T.
21'
Ceballos B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CF Montreal
20%
Draws
40%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead of CF Montreal on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Montreal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 30 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CF Montreal scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Vancouver Whitecaps lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
03 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -