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CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Championship Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
CF Montreal Logo

CF Montreal

2 - 1
FT
Vancouver Whitecaps Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps

Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Badwal J.
21'
Blackmon T.
21'
Ceballos B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CF Montreal
30%
Draws
58%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead of CF Montreal on wins alone.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Montreal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Montreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabbi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 10 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CF Montreal scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

CF Montreal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
31 Oct
New York City
1 : 1
CF Montreal
28 Oct
Charlotte FC
4 : 0
CF Montreal
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 7

Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
01 Nov
Vancouver Whitecaps
5 : 1
Seattle Sounders
29 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
San Diego FC
25 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal 1
Forge FC 2