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CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Saputo Stadium, Montreal, QC
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Montreal host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CF Montreal at 1.32 goals for, 1.71 against; Vancouver Whitecaps at 1.78 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, CF Montreal have won 1 to Vancouver Whitecaps's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward Vancouver Whitecaps. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CF Montreal
30%
Draws
62%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 15%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Championship
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
1:1
Jun 8, 2023 Championship
Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Montreal 10 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Montreal Vancouver Whitecaps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vancouver Whitecaps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vancouver Whitecaps let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CF Montreal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Montreal VS Vancouver Whitecaps
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Montreal

(Home)
28 Oct
Charlotte FC
4 : 0
CF Montreal
24 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Nashville SC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
18 Oct
Seattle Sounders
1 : 1
CF Montreal
14 Oct
CF Montreal
0 : 3
Atlanta United
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Vancouver Whitecaps

(Away)
29 Oct
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
San Diego FC
25 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
18 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 2
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 0
Vancouver Whitecaps
11 Oct
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 32 17 7 8 67:33 58
2 FC Dallas 32 15 9 8 58:49 54
3 St. Louis City 32 14 9 9 58:47 51
4 Houston Dynamo 32 14 9 9 42:39 51
5 San Jose Earthquakes 32 13 10 9 54:47 49
6 Los Angeles FC 32 12 11 9 50:35 47
7 Colorado Rapids 32 12 7 13 44:43 43
8 Seattle Sounders 32 11 10 11 41:40 43
9 Real Salt Lake 32 12 6 14 50:49 42
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32 10 11 11 45:54 41
11 Portland Timbers 32 11 7 14 57:60 40
12 Minnesota United 32 9 11 12 50:56 38
13 San Diego FC 32 8 11 13 56:62 35
14 Austin FC 32 8 10 14 41:59 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 32 6 4 22 38:80 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 32 21 8 3 66:23 71
2 New England Revolution 32 18 4 10 54:44 58
3 Inter Miami 32 15 11 6 75:55 56
4 Chicago Fire 32 15 7 10 57:48 52
5 Charlotte FC 32 14 8 10 59:48 50
6 Philadelphia Union 32 13 8 11 62:50 47
7 Orlando City 32 12 7 13 62:74 43
8 FC Cincinnati 32 11 10 11 66:73 43
9 Columbus Crew 32 12 5 15 52:49 41
10 New York Red Bulls 32 11 6 15 43:59 39
11 Toronto FC 32 9 12 11 50:60 39
12 New York City 32 9 11 12 47:44 38
13 DC United 32 7 12 13 39:57 33
14 Atlanta United 32 8 6 18 40:56 30
15 CF Montreal 32 6 7 19 36:66 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)