Sport Picks
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Gavilanes de Matamoros Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 
Match Events
75'
75'
Villanueva V.
AI Match Summary
Gavilanes de Matamoros in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gavilanes de Matamoros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gavilanes de Matamoros lately — more wins on the board than CF Orgullo Reynosa.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Gavilanes de Matamoros taking it.
- Gavilanes de Matamoros arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gavilanes de Matamoros, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 22%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Orgullo Reynosa | Gavilanes de Matamoros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
1:1
May 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:1
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare
Top Goalscorer Villanueva V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Orgullo Reynosa 29 / 100
Gavilanes de Matamoros 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Orgullo Reynosa Gavilanes de Matamoros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gavilanes de Matamoros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Orgullo Reynosa found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Gavilanes de Matamoros let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
CF Orgullo Reynosa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Orgullo Reynosa
(Home) 05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1 CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2 CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1 Gavilanes de Matamoros
30 Mar
CF Orgullo Reynosa
2 : 1 Coras FC
16 Mar
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 0 Calor De San Pedro
07 Mar
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 0 Cimarrones de Sonora 2
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Gavilanes de Matamoros
(Away) 12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0 Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1 Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 7
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3 Gavilanes de Matamoros
07 Mar
Ciervos
0 : 2 Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Feb
Correcaminos 2
1 : 0 Gavilanes de Matamoros
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Jaiba Brava 3
Inter Playa Del Carmen 1
Deportiva Venados 3
Petroleros Salamanca 1
Racing de Veracruz -
TBD -
Irapuato 4
Aguacateros de Periban 1
Alacranes de Durango 7
Tritones Vallarta 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa 1
Los Cabos United -
TBD -
Tecos 5
UA Zacatecas 1
Quarter-finals
Jaiba Brava 1
Deportiva Venados 1
Racing de Veracruz 2
Irapuato 2
Alacranes de Durango 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros 3
Los Cabos United 5
Tecos 1
Semi-finals
Jaiba Brava 3
Racing de Veracruz 2
Alacranes de Durango 0
Los Cabos United 1
Final
Jaiba Brava 4
Los Cabos United 1
