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CF Os Belenenses vs Trofense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon
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Match Events

55'
Joel
61'
Sub
Ivandro In: Oliveira J.
Out: Ivandro
64'
Sub
Bruno L. In: Pereira Tomas Mendes Rebelo D.
Out: Bruno L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between CF Os Belenenses and Trofense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
CF Os Belenenses
15%
Draws
18%
Trofense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors CF Os Belenenses here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%
Trofense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Os Belenenses Trofense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.68 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga 3
Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Trofense
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
CF Os Belenenses vs Trofense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Os Belenenses 95 / 100
Trofense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Os Belenenses Trofense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Os Belenenses found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: CF Os Belenenses remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Trofense conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Trofense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CF Os Belenenses VS Trofense
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Os Belenenses

(Home)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

Trofense

(Away)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 14 9 4 1 22:11 31
2 Academica 14 8 4 2 23:13 28
3 CF Os Belenenses 14 7 5 2 25:16 26
4 Mafra 14 5 2 7 17:24 17
5 Vitoria Guimaraes B 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
6 Varzim 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
7 Santarem 14 2 4 8 13:20 10
8 Trofense 14 2 4 8 7:16 10
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)