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CF Rapid vs Alfaro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 game between CF Rapid and Alfaro finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CF Rapid
15%
Draws
49%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alfaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Rapid haven't matched Alfaro's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Alfaro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alfaro here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CF Rapid Clean Sheet 23%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Rapid Alfaro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CF Rapid
3:2
Jan 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Alfaro
0:3
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CF Rapid
1:0
Nov 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CF Rapid vs Alfaro
0:4
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Alfaro vs CF Rapid
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Rapid 29 / 100
Alfaro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Rapid Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alfaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Alfaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Alfaro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CF Rapid scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alfaro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Rapid

(Home)
01 May
Vianes
4 : 0
CF Rapid
24 Apr
CF Rapid
3 : 0
Agoncillo
14 Apr
Alfaro
3 : 2
CF Rapid
10 Apr
CF Rapid
0 : 1
Cenicero
03 Apr
Arnedo
5 : 0
CF Rapid
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Alfaro

(Away)
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arnedo 30 20 8 2 62:25 68
2 Alfaro 30 21 4 5 65:30 67
3 Anguiano 30 18 8 4 61:22 62
4 Varea 30 17 8 5 59:36 59
5 Casalarreina CF 30 17 6 7 55:34 57
6 CDFC La Calzada 30 17 5 8 43:23 56
7 Oyonesa 30 14 3 13 39:33 45
8 CD Calahorra B 30 13 5 12 58:44 44
9 Agoncillo 30 10 6 14 28:41 36
10 Haro Deportivo 30 9 8 13 37:34 35
11 River Ebro 30 10 3 17 36:48 33
12 Berceo 30 9 4 17 40:47 31
13 Vianes 30 8 7 15 42:57 31
14 Yague 30 8 7 15 38:53 31
15 CF Rapid 30 4 4 22 24:88 16
16 Cenicero 30 1 2 27 10:82 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2021/2022 (Play Offs)