Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Talavera vs Arenteiro

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Val B.
46'
Sub
Val B. In: Lopez A.
Out: Val B.
46' Event
Molina A.

AI Match Summary

CF Talavera in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Talavera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CF Talavera
20%
Draws
7%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Talavera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Talavera lately — more wins on the board than Arenteiro.
  • Model gives CF Talavera a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Talavera Arenteiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Arenteiro
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs CF Talavera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Talavera Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montero Sergio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Talavera 95 / 100
Arenteiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Talavera Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenteiro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

CF Talavera scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CF Talavera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Talavera VS Arenteiro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Talavera

(Home)
06 Aug
Villacanas
0 : 3
CF Talavera
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2
CF Talavera
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Ourense CF
10 May
Osasuna B
2 : 1
CF Talavera
02 May
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

Arenteiro

(Away)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)