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CF Talavera vs Atletico Paso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Talavera host Atletico Paso in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. CF Talavera have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Atletico Paso's 1.28 scored and 0.66 conceded. Past meetings favor CF Talavera slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2025, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.88, favoring Atletico Paso. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CF Talavera
35%
Draws
25%
Atletico Paso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Talavera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Paso have won more games recently than CF Talavera.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CF Talavera taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Talavera Atletico Paso
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Atletico Paso
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs CF Talavera
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs CF Talavera
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Atletico Paso
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Atletico Paso
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Talavera 67 / 100
Atletico Paso 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Talavera Atletico Paso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Talavera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Talavera scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

CF Talavera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico Paso has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Talavera VS Atletico Paso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Talavera

(Home)
03 Oct
Albacete B
0 : 4
CF Talavera
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Getafe B
1 : 1
CF Talavera
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Paso

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)