Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CF Talavera vs Cacereno

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gomez D.
9' Event
Sanchis R.
32' Event
Mele

AI Match Summary

Cacereno in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CF Talavera
30%
Draws
39%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cacereno lately — more wins on the board than CF Talavera.
  • Model gives CF Talavera a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 17%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Talavera Cacereno
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs CF Talavera
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Cacereno vs CF Talavera
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Cacereno
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Talavera Compare

Top Goalscorer Mele
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Talavera 41 / 100
Cacereno 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Talavera Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Talavera scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cacereno has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CF Talavera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Talavera VS Cacereno
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Talavera

(Home)
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
CF Talavera
06 Aug
Villacanas
0 : 3
CF Talavera
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2
CF Talavera
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Ourense CF
10 May
Osasuna B
2 : 1
CF Talavera
Page 1 of 6

Cacereno

(Away)
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
29 Jul
Villanovense
0 : 2
Cacereno
24 Jul
Cacereno
1 : 1
Jaen
23 May
Cacereno
1 : 2
CF Talavera
Page 1 of 7