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CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
CF Talavera Logo

CF Talavera

Wed, Sep 9, 2026
0 - 2
07:00 PM
Navalcarnero Logo

Navalcarnero

Our Tip

Match Events

101' Event
Ortiz A.
118' Event
Alvarito
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CF Talavera
30%
Draws
31%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CF Talavera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navalcarnero lately — more wins on the board than CF Talavera.
  • Model gives CF Talavera a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Navalcarnero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Navalcarnero, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 18%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Talavera Navalcarnero
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CF Talavera
1:4
May 5, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CF Talavera
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CF Talavera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Navalcarnero Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Talavera 41 / 100
Navalcarnero 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Talavera Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Navalcarnero conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CF Talavera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: CF Talavera scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CF Talavera VS Navalcarnero
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Talavera

(Home)
31 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 0
CF Talavera
25 Oct
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
18 Oct
Numancia
0 : 0
CF Talavera
11 Oct
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Atletico Paso
06 Oct
CF Talavera
1 : 0
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

Navalcarnero

(Away)
01 Nov
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Atletico Paso
24 Oct
Numancia
2 : 3
Navalcarnero
18 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
14 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Navalcarnero
11 Oct
Navalcarnero
1 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
Recreativo Huelva 3
Navalcarnero 2
Final
Sestao -
Recreativo Huelva -