Sport Picks
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
Spain
Copa Federacion 
Match Events
101'
101'
Ortiz A.
118'
118'
Alvarito
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navalcarnero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Navalcarnero lately — more wins on the board than CF Talavera.
- Model gives Navalcarnero a 54% chance of winning this.
- Navalcarnero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Navalcarnero, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CF Talavera Clean Sheet 19%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CF Talavera | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CF Talavera
1:4
May 5, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CF Talavera vs Navalcarnero
0:1
Jan 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CF Talavera
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CF Talavera Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Navalcarnero Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CF Talavera 24 / 100
Navalcarnero 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CF Talavera Navalcarnero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Navalcarnero conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
CF Talavera found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
CF Talavera has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CF Talavera VS Navalcarnero
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CF Talavera
(Home) 13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Getafe B
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1 CF Talavera
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
19 Aug
CF Talavera
0 : 1 Getafe B
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
02 May
CF Talavera
2 : 1 Arenas Getxo
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Navalcarnero
(Away) 13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
29 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
29 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Navalcarnero
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
1/8-finals
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Atletico Saguntino -
Navalcarnero -
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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