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CF Venta de Banos vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2009/2010 game between CF Venta de Banos and Arandina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Venta de Banos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CF Venta de Banos
30%
Draws
47%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arandina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CF Venta de Banos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arandina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CF Venta de Banos Clean Sheet 20%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Venta de Banos Arandina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CF Venta de Banos
1:0
Nov 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CF Venta de Banos vs Arandina
0:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CF Venta de Banos vs Arandina
1:0
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CF Venta de Banos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Venta de Banos 42 / 100
Arandina 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Venta de Banos Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

CF Venta de Banos's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CF Venta de Banos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Venta de Banos

(Home)
15 May
Bembibre
1 : 0
CF Venta de Banos
07 May
CF Venta de Banos
0 : 0
Gimnastica Segoviana
30 Apr
Villaralbo
3 : 2
CF Venta de Banos
21 Apr
CF Venta de Banos
5 : 0
CD Cebrerena
16 Apr
Atletico Astorga
1 : 0
CF Venta de Banos
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Arandina

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 27 9 2 62:18 90
2 Valladolid Promesas 38 26 7 5 85:26 85
3 Arandina 38 20 12 6 60:25 72
4 Real Avila 38 19 12 7 58:36 69
5 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 19 11 8 64:35 68
6 Villaralbo 38 17 12 9 61:33 63
7 Bembibre 38 17 11 10 63:51 62
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 16 8 14 59:39 56
9 Numancia B 38 15 5 18 45:56 50
10 CD Iscar 38 14 7 17 50:60 49
11 Atletico Astorga 38 14 7 17 45:60 49
12 Almazan 38 13 7 18 41:49 46
13 Racing Lermeno 38 13 6 19 48:62 45
14 Atletico Tordesillas 38 10 13 15 33:47 43
15 CF Venta de Banos 38 12 6 20 33:75 42
16 Santa Marta Tormes 38 10 8 20 40:64 38
17 CD Aguilar 38 8 11 19 39:56 35
18 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 10 20 34:57 34
19 La Granja 38 7 7 24 39:65 28
20 Leonesa B 38 6 9 23 35:80 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)