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Ch. Odesa vs FC Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ch. Odesa host FC Kharkiv in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ch. Odesa at 1.19 goals for, 1.07 against; FC Kharkiv at 1.67 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Ch. Odesa slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.94) point toward Ch. Odesa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ch. Odesa
20%
Draws
56%
FC Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ch. Odesa lately — more wins on the board than FC Kharkiv.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on FC Kharkiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 10%
FC Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa FC Kharkiv
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs FC Kharkiv
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Ch. Odesa
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs FC Kharkiv
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Premier League
FC Kharkiv vs Ch. Odesa
0:0
Dec 12, 2021 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs FC Kharkiv
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 10 / 100
FC Kharkiv 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa FC Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Kharkiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

FC Kharkiv has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ch. Odesa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS FC Kharkiv
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
Page 1 of 6

FC Kharkiv

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Kharkiv
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
19 Sept
FC Kharkiv
2 : 0
Bukovyna
16 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 2
FC Kharkiv
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)