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Ch. Odesa vs Karpaty Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ch. Odesa host Karpaty Lviv in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Karpaty Lviv have shipped 0.66 goals a game lately, while Ch. Odesa have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Karpaty Lviv slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Karpaty Lviv. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ch. Odesa
30%
Draws
47%
Karpaty Lviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ch. Odesa haven't matched Karpaty Lviv's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Karpaty Lviv's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Karpaty Lviv have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 16%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Karpaty Lviv
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Ch. Odesa
4:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Karpaty Lviv
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Karpaty Lviv vs Ch. Odesa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 28 / 100
Karpaty Lviv 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Karpaty Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karpaty Lviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Ch. Odesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karpaty Lviv let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Karpaty Lviv
0.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6

Karpaty Lviv

(Away)
11 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3
Karpaty Lviv
11 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 2
Karpaty Lviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
3 Dynamo Kyiv 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
4 FC Kharkiv 7 5 0 2 14:5 15
5 Karpaty Lviv 8 4 2 2 15:6 14
6 LNZ Cherkasy 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
7 Veres Rivne 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Kolos Kovalivka 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Bukovyna 8 1 5 2 6:8 8
11 Epitsentr 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
12 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
13 Ch. Odesa 7 1 2 4 4:9 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 8 0 2 6 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)