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Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Pushkaryov O.
19'
Sub
Kogut I. In: Alefirenko D.
Out: Kogut I.
46'
Sub
Klyots D. In: Avagimyan A.
Out: Klyots D.

AI Match Summary

Ch. Odesa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ch. Odesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ch. Odesa
30%
Draws
31%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ch. Odesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ch. Odesa have won more games recently than Kryvbas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Kryvbas
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
1:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ch. Odesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Faraseyenko V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Kryvbas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 41 / 100
Kryvbas 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ch. Odesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Kryvbas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ch. Odesa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Kryvbas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
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Kryvbas

(Away)
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
08 Sept
Olympia Savyntsi
0 : 2
Kryvbas
05 Sept
Kryvbas
2 : 2
Kolos Kovalivka
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 7 6 0 1 15:4 18
3 Karpaty Lviv 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 Veres Rivne 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
10 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
15 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
16 Kudrivka 7 0 2 5 5:18 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)