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Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ch. Odesa host Kryvbas in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ch. Odesa have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.12 conceded recently, against Kryvbas's 1.71 scored and 1.71 conceded. Head-to-head, Ch. Odesa have won 1 to Kryvbas's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ch. Odesa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ch. Odesa
20%
Draws
57%
Kryvbas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kryvbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ch. Odesa have won more games recently than Kryvbas.
  • Model gives Kryvbas a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kryvbas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 17%
Kryvbas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Kryvbas
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Kryvbas
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Premier League
Kryvbas vs Ch. Odesa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 23 / 100
Kryvbas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Kryvbas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kryvbas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Kryvbas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ch. Odesa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Kryvbas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
16 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
02 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
25 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 2
Ch. Odesa
25 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1
Ch. Odesa
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
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Kryvbas

(Away)
22 Aug
Rokyta
0 : 3
Kryvbas
15 Aug
Kryvbas
1 : 1
Livyi Bereg
09 Aug
Zorya
1 : 3
Kryvbas
01 Aug
Kryvbas
1 : 4
Karpaty Lviv
14 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 1
Gent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Shakhtar 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
3 Zorya 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4 Dynamo Kyiv 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Polissya Zhytomyr 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Epitsentr 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 Kryvbas 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
8 LNZ Cherkasy 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 FC Kharkiv 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
10 Obolon 3 0 2 1 0:3 2
11 Kudrivka 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
12 Livyi Bereg 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Bukovyna 3 0 2 1 0:3 2
14 Veres Rivne 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Ch. Odesa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
16 Kolos Kovalivka 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)