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Ch. Odesa vs Obolon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kogut M.
22'
Moroz T.
28'
Jobe M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ch. Odesa
35%
Draws
32%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ch. Odesa lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • Model gives Ch. Odesa a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Obolon
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.15 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Obolon
1:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Obolon
1:0
Feb 26, 2024 Premier League
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ch. Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedorivsky N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 50 / 100
Obolon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ch. Odesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Obolon let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ch. Odesa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Obolon
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
31 Oct
Veres Rivne
1 : 3
Ch. Odesa
25 Oct
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
17 Oct
Zorya
2 : 1
Ch. Odesa
10 Oct
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2
FC Kharkiv
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

Obolon

(Away)
06 Nov
Obolon
1 : 1
Livyi Bereg
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
23 Oct
Polissya Zhytomyr
3 : 0
Obolon
16 Oct
Obolon
2 : 0
Veres Rivne
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 11 9 1 1 25:8 28
2 Shakhtar 11 9 1 1 22:5 28
3 Dynamo Kyiv 10 7 1 2 16:9 22
4 FC Kharkiv 9 7 0 2 18:7 21
5 Karpaty Lviv 11 5 4 2 22:8 19
6 Zorya 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
7 LNZ Cherkasy 10 4 3 3 10:9 15
8 Kolos Kovalivka 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Livyi Bereg 10 1 6 3 7:9 9
10 Ch. Odesa 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
11 Epitsentr 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
12 Bukovyna 10 1 6 3 7:12 9
13 Veres Rivne 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
14 Obolon 11 1 5 5 5:18 8
15 Kryvbas 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
16 Kudrivka 11 1 2 8 11:29 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)