Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ch. Odesa vs Obolon

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kogut M.
22'
Moroz T.
28'
Jobe M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ch. Odesa
30%
Draws
23%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ch. Odesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ch. Odesa lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • Model gives Ch. Odesa a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ch. Odesa Obolon
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 13
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Obolon
1:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Obolon
1:0
Feb 26, 2024 Premier League
Obolon vs Ch. Odesa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ch. Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedorivsky N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ch. Odesa 77 / 100
Obolon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ch. Odesa Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ch. Odesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ch. Odesa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Obolon let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Obolon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ch. Odesa VS Obolon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ch. Odesa

(Home)
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0
Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0
Ch. Odesa
16 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
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Obolon

(Away)
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
15 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 0
Obolon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Shakhtar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Karpaty Lviv 6 4 1 1 14:4 13
4 Dynamo Kyiv 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
5 FC Kharkiv 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
6 Epitsentr 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
8 Zorya 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
9 Bukovyna 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
10 Veres Rivne 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Kryvbas 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
12 Livyi Bereg 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
13 Ch. Odesa 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Obolon 6 0 3 3 1:11 3
15 Kolos Kovalivka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Kudrivka 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)