Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Lopyryonok M.
50'
50'
Budkivskyi P.
77'
77'
Khoblenko O.
AI Match Summary
Ch. Odesa in this Ukrainian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ch. Odesa lately — more wins on the board than Zorya.
- Win probability leans Zorya's way, sitting at 60%.
- Ch. Odesa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ch. Odesa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ch. Odesa Clean Sheet 16%
Zorya Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ch. Odesa | Zorya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Ch. Odesa
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Premier League
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Zorya vs Ch. Odesa
1:0
Nov 1, 2023 Ukrainian Cup
Ch. Odesa vs Zorya
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ch. Odesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopyryonok M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Khoblenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Zorya Compare
Top Goalscorer Budkivskyi P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ch. Odesa 19 / 100
Zorya 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ch. Odesa Zorya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zorya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ch. Odesa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Zorya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Ch. Odesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ch. Odesa VS Zorya
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ch. Odesa
(Home) 18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1 Obolon
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0 Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Kryvbas
23 Aug
FC Vilkhivtsi
1 : 0 Ch. Odesa
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18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1 Obolon
04 Sept
Ch. Odesa
0 : 0 Livyi Bereg
30 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0 Kryvbas
02 Aug
Ch. Odesa
1 : 2 Polissya Zhytomyr
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Nyva Vinnytsya
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Zorya
(Away) 19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3 FC Kharkiv
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13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1 Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1 Zorya
22 Aug
Skala 1911
0 : 6 Zorya
17 Aug
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 2 Zorya
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 2
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
Kolos Polonne 1
Naftovyk Dolyna 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 3
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Korosten 0
Veres Rivne 4
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
UCSA 0
Hirnyk-Sport 1
Trostyanets 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Atlet Kiev 0
Kulikiv 0
Kryvbas 3
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 0
Lisne 4
Epitsentr 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 2
Zorya 1
Fazenda 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
FC Uzhhorod 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 2
Mayak Sarny 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Probiy Horodenka 0
Kormil Yavoriv 1
Rukh Lviv 2
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 0
Bukovyna 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Karpaty Lviv 8
Real Pharma Odesa 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
Iron 1
SC Poltava 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Polissya Stavky 3
Rebel Kyiv 0
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Livyi Bereg 1
Kudrivka 0
Victoria 1
Vorskla Poltava 0
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Inhulets 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Skala 1911 0
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2
Kolos Polonne 1
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Veres Rivne 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 7
Hirnyk-Sport 0
FC Chernihiv 3
Kryvbas 0
Olympia Savyntsi 1
Lisne 2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Ch. Odesa 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
Metalist Kharkiv 0
LNZ Cherkasy 2
Rukh Lviv 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 0
Bukovyna 1
Karpaty Lviv 0
Nyva Ternopil 3
SC Poltava 0
Oleksandriya 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Polissya Stavky 0
Shakhtar 1
Livyi Bereg 0
Victoria 1
Inhulets 4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 3
FC Kharkiv 4
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
FC Chernihiv 2
Lisne 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 2
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Rukh Lviv 0
Bukovyna 2
Nyva Ternopil 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Shakhtar 1
Victoria 0
Inhulets 1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Bukovyna 1
Dynamo Kyiv 2
Inhulets 0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv 0
FC Chernihiv 1
Bukovyna 0
Dynamo Kyiv 3
Final
FC Chernihiv 1
Dynamo Kyiv 3
