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Cha Grande vs Afogadense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Cha Grande Logo

Cha Grande

5 - 3
FT
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cha Grande in this Pernambucano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cha Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cha Grande
15%
Draws
76%
Afogadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Afogadense have won more games recently than Cha Grande.
  • Win probability leans Afogadense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 18%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Grande Afogadense
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.94 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs Afogadense
5:3
Jul 4, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Cha Grande
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 10 / 100
Afogadense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Grande Afogadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Afogadense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cha Grande scored in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Cha Grande has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cha Grande VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Grande

(Home)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
Page 1 of 7

Afogadense

(Away)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)