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Cha Grande vs CA Porto

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Porto in this Pernambucano 2 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cha Grande
35%
Draws
56%
CA Porto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Porto have won more games recently than Cha Grande.
  • CA Porto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 17%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cha Grande CA Porto
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 7
Draws 10 15
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
0:0
Oct 4, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs CA Porto
1:2
Oct 1, 2017 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Pernambucano
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
1:0
Dec 19, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs CA Porto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cha Grande 10 / 100
CA Porto 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cha Grande CA Porto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Porto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Cha Grande scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: CA Porto conceded in 54% of 35 recent games.

Cha Grande went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cha Grande VS CA Porto
1.14 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cha Grande

(Home)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
Page 1 of 6

CA Porto

(Away)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cabense 8 5 1 2 22:7 16
2 Vera Cruz 8 4 3 1 18:7 15
3 Ibis Sport Club 8 4 3 1 6:4 15
4 Centro Limoeirense 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
5 Ferroviario do Cabo 8 0 3 5 3:23 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pesqueira 8 3 5 0 12:6 14
2 Decisao 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
3 Sete de Setembro (PE) 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
4 CA Porto 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
5 Cha Grande 8 0 3 5 4:13 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2017 (Play Offs)