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Chabab Benguerir vs Stade Marocain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chabab Benguerir host Stade Marocain in the Botola 2. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Stade Marocain have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Chabab Benguerir have conceded 0.85 and scored 0.91. Head-to-head, Chabab Benguerir have won 1 to Stade Marocain's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.50, favoring Chabab Benguerir. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Chabab Benguerir
35%
Draws
9%
Stade Marocain
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chabab Benguerir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Marocain have won more games recently than Chabab Benguerir.
  • Win probability leans Chabab Benguerir's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Chabab Benguerir Clean Sheet 20%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Benguerir Stade Marocain
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.91 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Stade Marocain
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Benguerir
2:0
May 10, 2025 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Benguerir
2:2
Jan 8, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Stade Marocain
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs Chabab Benguerir
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Benguerir 67 / 100
Stade Marocain 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Benguerir Stade Marocain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chabab Benguerir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chabab Benguerir scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Chabab Benguerir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Stade Marocain registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Benguerir VS Stade Marocain
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Benguerir

(Home)
04 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0
Chabab Benguerir
27 Sept
Chabab Benguerir
2 : 0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
27 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
US Boujaad
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 7

Stade Marocain

(Away)
03 Oct
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Ittihad Khemisset
27 Sept
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
06 Sept
Stade Marocain
0 : 0
RAC Casablanca
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Fes 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Yacoub El Mansour 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Ittihad Khemisset 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
4 USM Oujda 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Jeunesse Massira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Olympique de Safi 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Olympique Khouribga 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
8 Chabab Benguerir 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Dcheira 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
12 US Boujaad 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 Stade Marocain 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 KAC Kenitra 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
15 Chabab Mohammedia 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
16 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)