Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Talib Rabbih A.
21' Event
Talib Rabbih A.
81' Event
Talib Rabbih A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Chabab Mohammedia
35%
Draws
41%
Chabab Benguerir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chabab Benguerir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chabab Mohammedia lately — more wins on the board than Chabab Benguerir.
  • Model gives Chabab Benguerir a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Chabab Mohammedia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chabab Mohammedia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 18%
Chabab Benguerir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Benguerir
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Coupe du Trone
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
0:3
Mar 7, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
1:0
Aug 9, 2020 Botola 2
Chabab Benguerir vs Chabab Mohammedia
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Chabab Benguerir
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chabab Mohammedia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Chabab Benguerir Compare

Top Goalscorer Talib Rabbih A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 23 / 100
Chabab Benguerir 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Benguerir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chabab Benguerir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chabab Benguerir let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chabab Mohammedia scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Chabab Mohammedia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS Chabab Benguerir
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chabab Mohammedia

(Home)
26 Sept
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
Raja Beni Mellal
2 : 0
Chabab Mohammedia
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
14 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
1 : 1
Widad Temara
Page 1 of 7

Chabab Benguerir

(Away)
05 Jul
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
27 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
US Boujaad
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
13 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
Moghreb Tetouan
07 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini 1
Renaissance Zemamra 2
Amal Tiznit 0
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0
COD Meknes 2
Moghreb Tetouan 1
FATH Casablanca 0
Olympique de Safi 3
Dcheira 0
Yacoub El Mansour 1
Maghreb Fez 0
Hassania Agadir 3
Mostakbal El Marsa 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Jeunesse Massira 0
KAC Kenitra 1
IR Tanger 2
Berkane 3
Wydad Fes 1
Kawkab Marrakech 3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Rachad Bernoussi 0
FUS Rabat 4
Union Touarga 1
Fath Nador 0
Chabab Mohammedia 0
Chabab Benguerir 3
FAR Rabat 2
Stade Marocain 1
Raja Beni Mellal 0
Wydad Athletic 2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra -
Difaa El Jadidi -
COD Meknes -
Moghreb Tetouan -
Olympique de Safi -
Yacoub El Mansour -
Hassania Agadir -
Raja Casablanca -
IR Tanger -
Berkane -
Kawkab Marrakech -
FUS Rabat -
Union Touarga -
Chabab Benguerir -
FAR Rabat -
Wydad Athletic -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -