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Chabab Mohammedia vs Moghreb Tetouan

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 Stade El Bachir
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AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between Chabab Mohammedia and Moghreb Tetouan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chabab Mohammedia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Chabab Mohammedia
17%
Draws
70%
Moghreb Tetouan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Moghreb Tetouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Moghreb Tetouan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Moghreb Tetouan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Moghreb Tetouan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 17%
Moghreb Tetouan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chabab Mohammedia Moghreb Tetouan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Mohammedia vs Moghreb Tetouan
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Botola 2
Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia
1:0
Feb 27, 2025 Botola Pro
Chabab Mohammedia vs Moghreb Tetouan
0:2
Oct 25, 2024 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia
3:0
Feb 18, 2024 Botola Pro
Moghreb Tetouan vs Chabab Mohammedia
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 15 / 100
Moghreb Tetouan 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chabab Mohammedia Moghreb Tetouan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chabab Mohammedia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Moghreb Tetouan conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Chabab Mohammedia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS Moghreb Tetouan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318