Sport Picks

Morocco

Botola 2 Stade El Bachir

Chabab Mohammedia

1 - 0

USM Oujda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between Chabab Mohammedia and USM Oujda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chabab Mohammedia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Chabab Mohammedia

39%

Draws

30%

USM Oujda

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

USM Oujda carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Chabab Mohammedia Clean Sheet 21%

USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chabab Mohammedia	USM Oujda
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	9	10
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Botola 2

Chabab Mohammedia vs USM Oujda

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 5, 2025 Botola 2

USM Oujda vs Chabab Mohammedia

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Oct 13, 2024 Excellence Cup

USM Oujda vs Chabab Mohammedia

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sep 4, 2024 Excellence Cup

Chabab Mohammedia vs USM Oujda

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chabab Mohammedia 32 / 100

USM Oujda 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chabab Mohammedia USM Oujda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Oujda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Chabab Mohammedia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Chabab Mohammedia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chabab Mohammedia VS USM Oujda

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moghreb Tetouan	30	14	11	5	33:22	53
2	Widad Temara	30	13	14	3	36:26	53
3	Amal Tiznit	30	10	16	4	36:26	46
4	Jeunesse Massira	30	11	11	8	29:21	44
5	Chabab Atlas Khenifra	30	11	10	9	26:24	43
6	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	30	10	12	8	37:35	42
7	Stade Marocain	30	11	8	11	23:24	41
8	Wydad Fes	30	9	11	10	34:30	38
9	Mouloudia Oujda	30	8	13	9	35:38	37
10	Chabab Benguerir	30	8	13	9	25:28	37
11	USM Oujda	30	9	10	11	29:30	37
12	Chabab Mohammedia	30	9	9	12	25:37	36
13	KAC Kenitra	30	8	12	10	35:36	36
14	US Boujaad	30	7	14	9	25:22	35
15	Raja Beni Mellal	30	7	11	12	25:32	32
16	RAC Casablanca	30	3	9	18	21:43	18