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Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

1 - 0
FT
Patronato Logo

Patronato

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Salas J. In: Barolin J.
Out: Salas J.
46'
Sub
Pereyra V. L. In: Piccioni S.
Out: Pereyra V. L.
46'
Sub
Barinaga J. P. In: Bravo B.
Out: Barinaga J. P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Chacarita Juniors and Patronato finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chacarita Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chacarita Juniors
30%
Draws
35%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chacarita Juniors taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
Patronato Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors Patronato
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 14
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.66 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Patronato
1:0
May 12, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Feb 19, 2018 Liga Profesional
Patronato vs Chacarita Juniors
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Patronato Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 36 / 100
Patronato 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patronato let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Chacarita Juniors found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Chacarita Juniors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS Patronato
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Patronato

(Away)
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)