Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin T. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires
Chacarita Juniors Logo

Chacarita Juniors

1 - 2
FT
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Melendez M.
Assist: Dominguez A.
12'
Brinone S.
20'
Sub
Facello F. In: Maldonado A.
Out: Facello F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Martin T. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chacarita Juniors
15%
Draws
46%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors haven't matched San Martin T.'s recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chacarita Juniors taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacarita Juniors San Martin T.
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin T.
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Chacarita Juniors
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Mar 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin T.
1:0
Jun 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin T.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Melendez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfaras L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacarita Juniors 46 / 100
San Martin T. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacarita Juniors San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Martin T. conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chacarita Juniors scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chacarita Juniors remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chacarita Juniors VS San Martin T.
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacarita Juniors

(Home)
10 Oct
Almagro
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
04 Oct
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 0
Patronato
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)