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Chacaritas vs America de Quito

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Villa J.
15' Event
Velasco K.

AI Match Summary

Chacaritas host America de Quito in the Serie B 2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chacaritas have averaged 0.88 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against America de Quito's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Chacaritas have won 1 to America de Quito's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2023, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.04 - 1.75) back America de Quito to edge this. America de Quito in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chacaritas
6%
Draws
90%
America de Quito
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chacaritas.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for America de Quito.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 12%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacaritas America de Quito
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Chacaritas
3:1
Jul 8, 2023 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Chacaritas
2:3
May 3, 2023 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chacaritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacaritas 10 / 100
America de Quito 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacaritas America de Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacaritas scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

America de Quito let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Chacaritas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

America de Quito lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacaritas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330