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Chacaritas vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Sep 13, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chacaritas host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chacaritas have averaged 0.88 scored and 2.5 conceded recently, against Fuerza Amarilla's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Fuerza Amarilla slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.75) back Chacaritas to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chacaritas
22%
Draws
60%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fuerza Amarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chacaritas come out ahead of Fuerza Amarilla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fuerza Amarilla a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 12%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chacaritas Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 42 16
Wins 9 2
Draws 14 9
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2020 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Sep 13, 2020 Serie B
Chacaritas vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Jul 19, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Chacaritas
0:0
Mar 8, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Chacaritas
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chacaritas 19 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chacaritas Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chacaritas scored in 62% of their last 42 outings.

Fuerza Amarilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 16 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Chacaritas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chacaritas VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chacaritas

(Home)
30 Oct
Imbabura
3 : 1
Chacaritas
22 Oct
Chacaritas
0 : 1
Vargas Torres
16 Oct
Atletico Vinotinto
4 : 0
Chacaritas
12 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Chacaritas
08 Oct
Chacaritas
0 : 1
22 de Julio
Page 1 of 9

Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)