Sport Picks
Chacaritas vs Nueve de Octubre
Ecuador
Serie B 2025 Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo 
AI Match Summary
Chacaritas play Nueve de Octubre in the Serie B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chacaritas averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Nueve de Octubre averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Chacaritas won 0, Nueve de Octubre won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 31, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Chacaritas and 2.50 for Nueve de Octubre. This points to a Nueve de Octubre double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chacaritas picked up more points recently compared to Nueve de Octubre.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.50 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chacaritas | Nueve de Octubre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chacaritas Compare
Nueve de Octubre Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chacaritas scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Nueve de Octubre let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Chacaritas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Nueve de Octubre lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones del Norte | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 26:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Guayaquil City | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 31:16 | 37 |
| 3 | Gualaceo | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 4 | Nueve de Octubre | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Independiente Juniors | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22:21 | 33 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 20:19 | 32 |
| 7 | Atletico Vinotinto | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:26 | 31 |
| 8 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:31 | 28 |
| 9 | Vargas Torres | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 26:22 | 26 |
| 10 | Cumbaya | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 11 | Imbabura | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:30 | 18 |
| 12 | Chacaritas | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21:44 | 17 |