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Chaco FC vs 26 de Febrero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chaco FC
15%
Draws
49%
26 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 26 de Febrero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • 26 de Febrero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chaco FC a 36% chance of winning this.
  • 26 de Febrero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chaco FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 10%
26 de Febrero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco FC 26 de Febrero
Matches Played 12 7
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 2.17 2
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
26 de Febrero vs Chaco FC
3:2
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs 26 de Febrero
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco FC 38 / 100
26 de Febrero 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco FC 26 de Febrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaco FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaco FC scored in 92% of their last 12 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chaco FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

26 de Febrero has conceded goals in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chaco FC VS 26 de Febrero
1.38 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
29 Aug
Chaco FC
3 : 2
26 de Febrero
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26 de Febrero

(Away)
10 Oct
Fatic
1 : 0
26 de Febrero
27 Sept
Hiska Nacional
0 : 2
26 de Febrero
21 Sept
Ingenieros
0 : 1
26 de Febrero
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
04 Sept
26 de Febrero
4 : 1
Ingenieros
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)