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Chaco FC vs Hiska Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. This leg finished 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chaco FC
15%
Draws
37%
Hiska Nacional
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaco FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hiska Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Chaco FC.
  • Win probability leans Chaco FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Hiska Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chaco FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 10%
Hiska Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco FC Hiska Nacional
Matches Played 12 18
Wins 3 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs Hiska Nacional
5:1
Sep 7, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Hiska Nacional vs Chaco FC
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco FC 83 / 100
Hiska Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco FC Hiska Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaco FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco FC's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hiska Nacional conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chaco FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaco FC VS Hiska Nacional
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
29 Aug
Chaco FC
3 : 2
26 de Febrero
Page 1 of 3

Hiska Nacional

(Away)
27 Sept
Hiska Nacional
0 : 2
26 de Febrero
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
14 Sept
Ingenieros
2 : 2
Hiska Nacional
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
31 Aug
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2
Ingenieros
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)