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Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol

South America South America

Copa Libertadores 1971
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Libertadores 1971 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chaco Petrolero
22%
Draws
18%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chaco Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Penarol have won more games recently than Chaco Petrolero.
  • Win probability leans Chaco Petrolero's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco Petrolero Penarol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Penarol vs Chaco Petrolero
1:0
Mar 13, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco Petrolero 58 / 100
Penarol 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco Petrolero Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco Petrolero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Penarol let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chaco Petrolero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penarol
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco Petrolero

(Home)
15 Jul
Chaco Petrolero
3 : 0
Academia del Balompie
12 Jul
Huayna Potosi Palcoco
1 : 4
Chaco Petrolero
08 Jul
Fatic
1 : 1
Chaco Petrolero
02 Jul
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2
Chaco Petrolero
18 Jun
Academia del Balompie
0 : 0
Chaco Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Penarol

(Away)
18 Jul
Penarol
3 : 0
Boston River
12 Jul
Racing Montevideo
1 : 1
Penarol
07 Jun
CA Cerro
0 : 1
Penarol
01 Jun
Penarol
0 : 1
Central Esp.
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Deportes62408:48
2Rosario Central622211:86
3Boca Juniors61414:56
4Sporting Cristal61235:114
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club Nacional651014:211
2Penarol631214:67
3Chaco Petrolero61145:103
4The Strongest61146:213
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras650113:510
2Fluminense640216:68
3Deportivo Miranda62137:155
4Galicia60159:191
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Espanola62317:67
2Cerro Porteno61415:56
3Colo Colo62226:76
4Guarani61329:95
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona SC63128:67
2Emelec62316:47
3Dep. Cali63038:76
4Junior61234:94
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)