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Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol

South America South America

Copa Libertadores 1971
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Libertadores 1971 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chaco Petrolero
35%
Draws
38%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Penarol have won more games recently than Chaco Petrolero.
  • Win probability leans Chaco Petrolero's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 19%
Penarol Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaco Petrolero Penarol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Penarol vs Chaco Petrolero
1:0
Mar 13, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaco Petrolero 36 / 100
Penarol 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaco Petrolero Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco Petrolero scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Penarol let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chaco Petrolero stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penarol
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaco Petrolero

(Home)
15 Jul
Chaco Petrolero
3 : 0
Academia del Balompie
12 Jul
Huayna Potosi Palcoco
1 : 4
Chaco Petrolero
08 Jul
Fatic
1 : 1
Chaco Petrolero
02 Jul
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2
Chaco Petrolero
18 Jun
Academia del Balompie
0 : 0
Chaco Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Penarol

(Away)
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Penarol
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Penarol
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4
Penarol
02 Sept
Atenas
2 : 2
Penarol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Deportes 6 2 4 0 8:4 8
2 Rosario Central 6 2 2 2 11:8 6
3 Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 4:5 6
4 Sporting Cristal 6 1 2 3 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 6 5 1 0 14:2 11
2 Penarol 6 3 1 2 14:6 7
3 Chaco Petrolero 6 1 1 4 5:10 3
4 The Strongest 6 1 1 4 6:21 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 6 5 0 1 13:5 10
2 Fluminense 6 4 0 2 16:6 8
3 Deportivo Miranda 6 2 1 3 7:15 5
4 Galicia 6 0 1 5 9:19 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Espanola 6 2 3 1 7:6 7
2 Cerro Porteno 6 1 4 1 5:5 6
3 Colo Colo 6 2 2 2 6:7 6
4 Guarani 6 1 3 2 9:9 5
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona SC 6 3 1 2 8:6 7
2 Emelec 6 2 3 1 6:4 7
3 Dep. Cali 6 3 0 3 8:7 6
4 Junior 6 1 2 3 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)