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Chad U17 vs Mali U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-9, with Mali U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chad U17
20%
Draws
50%
Mali U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali U17 come out ahead of Chad U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chad U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chad U17 Mali U17
Matches Played 9 33
Wins 4 20
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.89 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.22 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mali U17 vs Chad U17
3:0
Aug 13, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Chad U17 vs Mali U17
0:9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chad U17 10 / 100
Mali U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chad U17 Mali U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Chad U17 scored in 38% of their last 8 outings.

Mali U17 let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Chad U17 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mali U17
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chad U17

(Home)
21 Aug
Mali U17
3 : 0
Chad U17
13 Aug
Chad U17
0 : 9
Mali U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
27 Oct
Ivory Coast U17
3 : 0
Chad U17
14 Oct
Chad U17
0 : 3
Ivory Coast U17
Page 1 of 2

Mali U17

(Away)
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1
Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1
Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0
Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -