Sport Picks
Chainat Hornbill vs Chanthaburi
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium, Chai Nat 
Match Events
9'
9'
Amarildo
(Penalty)
21'
21'
Abeledo I.
45'
45'
Abeledo I.
AI Match Summary
Chanthaburi in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chanthaburi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chainat Hornbill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chainat Hornbill lately — more wins on the board than Chanthaburi.
- Win probability leans Chainat Hornbill's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 68%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chainat Hornbill | Chanthaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chanthaburi
1:4
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chainat Hornbill
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chanthaburi
5:2
Dec 21, 2024 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Feb 23, 2024 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chainat Hornbill Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chanthaburi Compare
Top Goalscorer Abeledo I.
4 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chainat Hornbill 59 / 100
Chanthaburi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chainat Hornbill Chanthaburi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Chainat Hornbill scored in 76% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Chanthaburi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Chainat Hornbill remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chainat Hornbill VS Chanthaburi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chainat Hornbill
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0 Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
22 Aug
Chainat Hornbill
6 : 2 Welfare Royal Thai Air Force
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3 Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 4
Chanthaburi
(Away) 20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3 Chanthaburi
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0 Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0 Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1 Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1 Police Tero
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3 Chanthaburi
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0 Chanthaburi
18 Apr
Pattani
2 : 1 Chanthaburi
04 Apr
Songkhla
1 : 1 Chanthaburi
21 Mar
Nakhon Si United
1 : 1 Chanthaburi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
