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Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Jota
70' Event
Amarildo
89' Event
Popsayai P.

AI Match Summary

Chainat Hornbill in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chainat Hornbill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chainat Hornbill
40%
Draws
29%
Chiangmai United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chiangmai United lately — more wins on the board than Chainat Hornbill.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 11%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Chiangmai United
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai United
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Chainat Hornbill
3:4
Feb 1, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai United
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Chainat Hornbill
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Chiangmai United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Jota
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amarildo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Noisri W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 30 / 100
Chiangmai United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Chiangmai United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Chiangmai United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Chiangmai United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS Chiangmai United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00