Sport Picks
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Si United Prediction & H2H Stats
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium, Chai Nat 
Match Events
65'
65'
Shimizu T.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chainat Hornbill and Nakhon Si United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chainat Hornbill.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chainat Hornbill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chainat Hornbill come out ahead of Nakhon Si United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chainat Hornbill's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 68%
Nakhon Si United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chainat Hornbill | Nakhon Si United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Si United
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chainat Hornbill
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chainat Hornbill
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Si United
1:0
Feb 7, 2024 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Si United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chainat Hornbill Compare
Top Goalscorer Shimizu T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nakhon Si United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chainat Hornbill 77 / 100
Nakhon Si United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chainat Hornbill Nakhon Si United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chainat Hornbill scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Nakhon Si United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Chainat Hornbill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Chainat Hornbill VS Nakhon Si United
1.38 Goals Scored 0.57
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Chainat Hornbill
(Home) 19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0 Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1 Chainat Hornbill
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16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0 Pattaya United
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
22 Aug
Chainat Hornbill
6 : 2 Welfare Royal Thai Air Force
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3 Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 4
Nakhon Si United
(Away) 25 Apr
Nakhon Si United
0 : 0 Pattani
19 Apr
Songkhla
0 : 1 Nakhon Si United
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0 Nakhon Si United
29 Mar
Nakhon Si United
0 : 1 Trat FC
21 Mar
Nakhon Si United
1 : 1 Chanthaburi
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19 Apr
Songkhla
0 : 1 Nakhon Si United
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0 Nakhon Si United
15 Mar
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 0 Nakhon Si United
05 Mar
Phrae United
0 : 0 Nakhon Si United
15 Feb
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Nakhon Si United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
