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Chainat Hornbill vs Pattaya United Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium, Chai Nat
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gustavo Apis
31' Event
Shimizu T.
80'
Boontab T.

AI Match Summary

Pattaya United in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pattaya United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chainat Hornbill
20%
Draws
40%
Pattaya United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chainat Hornbill lately — more wins on the board than Pattaya United.
  • Win probability leans Chainat Hornbill's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 14%
Pattaya United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chainat Hornbill Pattaya United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattaya United
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattaya United
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Chainat Hornbill
2:2
Jan 4, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattaya United
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Thai League 2
Pattaya United vs Chainat Hornbill
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimizu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pattaya United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Apis
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 75 / 100
Pattaya United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chainat Hornbill Pattaya United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pattaya United conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Chainat Hornbill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chainat Hornbill VS Pattaya United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chainat Hornbill

(Home)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 7

Pattaya United

(Away)
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2
Pattaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)