Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Chalfont St Peter

6 - 0

Arlesey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chalfont St Peter in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Chalfont St Peter

15%

Draws

85%

Arlesey

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arlesey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Chalfont St Peter lately — more wins on the board than Arlesey.
Model gives Chalfont St Peter a 0% chance of winning this.
Chalfont St Peter have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chalfont St Peter, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 20%

Arlesey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chalfont St Peter	Arlesey
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	5
Draws	7	5
Losses	14	20
Goals Scored	1.37	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.67	2.3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.71	1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2016 FA Trophy

Chalfont St Peter vs Arlesey

6:0

Oct 8, 2016 FA Trophy

Arlesey vs Chalfont St Peter

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 85 / 100

Arlesey 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chalfont St Peter Arlesey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalfont St Peter Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arlesey has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Arlesey has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chalfont St Peter's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chalfont St Peter VS Arlesey

1.25 Goals Scored 0.67

1.38 Goals Conceded 4.17

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

(Home)

25 Sept

Ashford United

2 : 1

Chalfont St Peter

26 Sept

Hythe

3 : 0

Chalfont St Peter

22 Sept

Chalfont St Peter

2 : 3

Farnborough

28 Sept

Chalfont St Peter

0 : 1

Whitstable Town

07 Sept

Chichester City

2 : 0

Chalfont St Peter

Page 1 of 6

Arlesey

(Away)

30 Aug

Eynesbury Rovers

3 : 1

Arlesey

15 Jul

Arlesey

0 : 4

Hendon

04 Sept

Arlesey

0 : 5

Bowers & Pitsea

07 Sept

Hadley

3 : 2

Arlesey

28 Oct

Needham Market

3 : 1

Arlesey

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Skelmersdale -

TBD -

Burscough 1

Kendal 2

Goole 2

Belper Town 1

TBD -

Blyth Spartans -

Rushall -

TBD -

Halesowen -

Buxton -

TBD -

Tadcaster Albion 0

Glossop North End 2

Stourbridge -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Marine -

TBD -

Ashton United -

Bedworth United 5

Rugby 3

TBD -

Neots -

Hednesford -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 0

Stamford 1

Corby -

TBD -

Stafford -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Chasetown 1

Carlton Town 3

Sutton Coldfield Town -

TBD -

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

TBD -

Frickley -

Workington -

TBD -

Whitby -

Ramsbottom Utd 3

Sheffield FC 1

Ossett Albion 1

Prescot Cables 2

Cambridge City -

TBD -

Redditch -

Kidsgrove Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle Town 1

Soham 3

Lancaster 4

Droylsden 2

Clitheroe 0

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell -

TBD -

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -

Mossley AFC 4

Northwich Victoria 3

Radcliffe 1

Farsley 3

Stratford -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

Matlock -

Trafford 2

Colne 1

Ossett Town 0

Bamber Bridge 1

Leamington -

TBD -

Mickleover -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7

Histon 2

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Gresley 4

Spalding United 1

Romulus 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Colwyn Bay 1

Hyde 0

Brighouse Town 2

Witton Albion 5

Market Drayton -

TBD -

Kettering -

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Heybridge -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Bishops Cleeve 1

Didcot 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Swindon Supermarine 3

Slimbridge 1

Larkhall 2

Taunton Town 6

Dunstable Town -

TBD -

Norwich Utd 0

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 3

Kidlington 2

TBD -

Weymouth -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Farnborough 1

Barnstaple Town 5

Staines -

TBD -

Basingstoke -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

Cinderford Town -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Slough Town -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Cirencester -

Maldon & Tiptree 3

Great Wakering 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Brightlingsea 2

Dereham 1

TBD -

Metropolitan Police -

Uxbridge 4

AFC Dunstable 0

TBD -

Harlow -

Hanwell Town 4

Bedford 0

Sittingbourne 0

Bury Town 2

Evesham 1

Shortwood 0

TBD -

Frome Town -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Hereford 3

Salisbury 4

Hendon -

TBD -

Leiston -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Lowestoft -

Leatherhead -

TBD -

Chesham -

Merstham -

TBD -

Waltham Abbey -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Haringey Borough 1

Hythe 2

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Thamesmead 1

Arlesey 2

Chalfont St Peter 8

Biggleswade Town -

TBD -

Aveley 1

FC Witham Town 2

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Hitchin -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Whyteleafe 1

Cheshunt 3

Yate 2

Mangotsfield 0

Bridgwater United 3

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 3

Egham Town 0

Dorking Wanderers 3

Northwood 6

Tiverton 6

Paulton Rovers 1

AFC Totton 3

Wimborne 4

Needham Market -

TBD -

Godalming Town 0

Wroxham 3

Herne Bay 1

Barton 0

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Cray Wanderers 6

Carshalton 3

Brentwood 1

Marlow 2

Kempston 5

Chipstead 3

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Phoenix Sports -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

East Grinstead Town 4

Fleet Town 2

Bideford 1

Petersfield 2

Winchester City 4

Hastings 3

Ramsgate 0

Chatham 1

Aylesbury United 4

Faversham -

TBD -

Guernsey FC 0

South Park 2

Sudbury -

TBD -

Thurrock 1

Bowers & Pitsea 2

Horsham FC 2

Potters 0

Molesey 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Lewes 4

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Hornchurch 2

Ashford Town 3

Ware 3

Aylesbury Vale 1

Greenwich Borough 2

VCD Athletic 3

Grays -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Nantwich 2

Warrington Town 0

Skelmersdale 1

Kendal 3

Goole 2

Blyth Spartans 8

Rushall 1

Halesowen 2

Buxton 2

Glossop North End 0

Stourbridge 1

King’s Lynn 2

Marine 4

Ashton United 0

Bedworth United 2

Neots 3

Hednesford 4

Stamford 1

Corby 0

Stafford 2

St Ives Town 4

Carlton Town 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 1

Leek Town 2

Shaw Lane 6

Frickley 2

Workington 3

Whitby 4

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Prescot Cables 1

Cambridge City 1

Redditch 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 5

Soham 3

Lancaster 1

Stocksbridge 2

Barwell 2

Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0

Mossley AFC 1

Farsley 3

Stratford 2

Grantham Town 6

Spennymoor 1

Matlock 2

Trafford 2

Bamber Bridge 0

Leamington 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Coalville Town 0

Gresley 2

Lincoln Utd. 4

Colwyn Bay 2

Witton Albion 4

Market Drayton 1

Kettering 5

Kings Langley 1

Heybridge 0

Canvey Island 2

Enfield Town 3

Bishops Cleeve 1

Banbury 0

Swindon Supermarine 0

Taunton Town 5

Dunstable Town 4

Tooting & Mitcham 2

Wantage 0

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 3

Barnstaple Town 1

Staines 1

Basingstoke 4

Merthyr Town 6

Cinderford Town 1

Bognor Regis 1

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Cirencester 1

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Billericay 2

Brightlingsea 6

Metropolitan Police 2

Uxbridge 0

Harlow 1

Hanwell Town 2

Bury Town 1

Evesham 1

Frome Town 2

Chippenham Town 3

Salisbury 2

Hendon 0

Leiston 5

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Lowestoft 1

Leatherhead 2

Chesham 3

Merstham 5

Waltham Abbey 0

Walton Casuals 2

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 5

Beaconsfield Town 1

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 1

FC Witham Town 0

Hayes & Yeading 0

Hitchin 1

Folkestone 3

Cheshunt 1

Yate 1

North Leigh 6

Royston Town 6

Northwood 3

Tiverton 0

Wimborne 1

Needham Market 2

Wroxham 0

Herne Bay 2

Harrow Borough 5

Cray Wanderers 4

Marlow 0

Kempston 1

Worthing FC 3

Phoenix Sports 3

East Grinstead Town 2

Fleet Town 1

Winchester City 2

Hastings 4

Aylesbury United 0

Faversham 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Horsham FC 1

Romford 3

Kingstonian 2

Lewes 1

Tonbridge 7

Ashford Town 4

Ware 3

VCD Athletic 1

Grays 1

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Nantwich 2

Kendal 0

Blyth Spartans 4

Halesowen 3

Buxton 1

King’s Lynn 3

Marine 5

Neots 3

Hednesford 2

Stafford 3

St Ives Town 2

Leek Town 1

Shaw Lane 3

Whitby 0

Ramsbottom Utd 4

Redditch 1

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Stocksbridge 5

Barwell 2

Farsley 3

Grantham Town 0

Matlock 2

Trafford 0

Mickleover 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Lincoln Utd. 5

Witton Albion 2

Kettering 1

Kings Langley 1

Enfield Town 0

Bishops Cleeve 0

Taunton Town 1

Dunstable Town 1

Weymouth 4

Dorchester 0

Basingstoke 3

Merthyr Town 2

Slough Town 4

Havant & Waterlooville 5

Billericay 0

Brightlingsea 2

Harlow 3

Hanwell Town 0

Frome Town 1

Chippenham Town 0

Leiston 1

Dulwich Hamlet 4

Chesham 0

Merstham 0

Hythe 3

Burgess Hill 4

Chalfont St Peter 3

Biggleswade Town 3

Hitchin 4

Folkestone 2

North Leigh 3

Royston Town 4

Wimborne 0

Needham Market 1

Harrow Borough 2

Cray Wanderers 1

Worthing FC 2

Phoenix Sports 1

Winchester City 3

Hastings 3

South Park 4

Sudbury 4

Romford 0

Kingstonian 3

Tonbridge 2

Ware 0

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Chalfont St Peter vs Arlesey

England

Chalfont St Peter

Arlesey

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

Arlesey

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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