Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Burgess Hill

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chalfont St Peter play Burgess Hill in the FA Trophy 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chalfont St Peter averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Burgess Hill averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Chalfont St Peter won 0, Burgess Hill won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2016 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Chalfont St Peter and 1.43 for Burgess Hill. This points to a Burgess Hill double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Chalfont St Peter

18%

Draws

52%

Burgess Hill

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Chalfont St Peter picked up more points recently compared to Burgess Hill.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.43 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 17%

Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chalfont St Peter	Burgess Hill
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	17
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.37	1.84
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2016 FA Trophy

Chalfont St Peter vs Burgess Hill

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Nov 15, 2016 FA Trophy

Burgess Hill vs Chalfont St Peter

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 30 / 100

Burgess Hill 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chalfont St Peter Burgess Hill

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Burgess Hill or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chalfont St Peter attacking → ← attacking Burgess Hill

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chalfont St Peter scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Burgess Hill let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chalfont St Peter went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Burgess Hill lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63