Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chalfont St Peter vs Burgess Hill

England England

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Tue, Nov 22, 2016
1 - 2
07:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
57' Event

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Chalfont St Peter
20%
Draws
80%
Burgess Hill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burgess Hill lately — more wins on the board than Chalfont St Peter.
  • Win probability leans Burgess Hill's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Burgess Hill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Burgess Hill, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Chalfont St Peter Clean Sheet 19%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chalfont St Peter Burgess Hill
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2016 FA Trophy
Chalfont St Peter vs Burgess Hill
1:2
Nov 15, 2016 FA Trophy
Burgess Hill vs Chalfont St Peter
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chalfont St Peter 10 / 100
Burgess Hill 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chalfont St Peter Burgess Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgess Hill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Burgess Hill conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chalfont St Peter scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Burgess Hill registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burgess Hill
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chalfont St Peter

(Home)
25 Sept
Ashford United
2 : 1
Chalfont St Peter
26 Sept
Hythe
3 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
22 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
2 : 3
Farnborough
28 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
0 : 1
Whitstable Town
07 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 0
Chalfont St Peter
Page 1 of 6

Burgess Hill

(Away)
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2
Winslow United
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3
Burgess Hill
12 Sept
Burgess Hill
2 : 2
Ramsgate
05 Sept
Burgess Hill
0 : 0
Jersey Bulls
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Town -
Skelmersdale -
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Burscough 1
Kendal 2
Goole 2
Belper Town 1
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Blyth Spartans -
Rushall -
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Halesowen -
Buxton -
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Tadcaster Albion 0
Glossop North End 2
Stourbridge -
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King’s Lynn -
Marine -
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Ashton United -
Bedworth United 5
Rugby 3
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Neots -
Hednesford -
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Basford Utd. 0
Stamford 1
Corby -
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Stafford -
St Ives Town -
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Chasetown 1
Carlton Town 3
Sutton Coldfield Town -
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Loughborough Dynamo 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
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Frickley -
Workington -
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Whitby -
Ramsbottom Utd 3
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett Albion 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cambridge City -
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Redditch -
Kidsgrove Athletic -
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Newcastle Town 1
Soham 3
Lancaster 4
Droylsden 2
Clitheroe 0
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell -
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Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) -
Mossley AFC 4
Northwich Victoria 3
Radcliffe 1
Farsley 3
Stratford -
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Grantham Town -
Spennymoor -
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Matlock -
Trafford 2
Colne 1
Ossett Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Leamington -
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Mickleover -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 7
Histon 2
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Coalville Town -
Gresley 4
Spalding United 1
Romulus 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Colwyn Bay 1
Hyde 0
Brighouse Town 2
Witton Albion 5
Market Drayton -
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Kettering -
Kings Langley -
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Heybridge -
Canvey Island -
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Enfield Town -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Didcot 0
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Banbury -
Swindon Supermarine 3
Slimbridge 1
Larkhall 2
Taunton Town 6
Dunstable Town -
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Norwich Utd 0
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 3
Kidlington 2
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Weymouth -
Dorchester -
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Farnborough 1
Barnstaple Town 5
Staines -
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Basingstoke -
Merthyr Town -
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Cinderford Town -
Bognor Regis -
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Slough Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Cirencester -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Great Wakering 1
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Billericay -
Brightlingsea 2
Dereham 1
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Metropolitan Police -
Uxbridge 4
AFC Dunstable 0
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Harlow -
Hanwell Town 4
Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 0
Bury Town 2
Evesham 1
Shortwood 0
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Frome Town -
Chippenham Town -
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Hereford 3
Salisbury 4
Hendon -
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Leiston -
Dulwich Hamlet -
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Lowestoft -
Leatherhead -
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Chesham -
Merstham -
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Waltham Abbey -
Walton Casuals -
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Haringey Borough 1
Hythe 2
Burgess Hill -
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Beaconsfield Town -
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Thamesmead 1
Arlesey 2
Chalfont St Peter 8
Biggleswade Town -
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Aveley 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hayes & Yeading -
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Hitchin -
Folkestone -
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Whyteleafe 1
Cheshunt 3
Yate 2
Mangotsfield 0
Bridgwater United 3
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 3
Egham Town 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
Northwood 6
Tiverton 6
Paulton Rovers 1
AFC Totton 3
Wimborne 4
Needham Market -
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Godalming Town 0
Wroxham 3
Herne Bay 1
Barton 0
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Harrow Borough -
Cray Wanderers 6
Carshalton 3
Brentwood 1
Marlow 2
Kempston 5
Chipstead 3
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Worthing FC -
Phoenix Sports -
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Three Bridges 0
East Grinstead Town 4
Fleet Town 2
Bideford 1
Petersfield 2
Winchester City 4
Hastings 3
Ramsgate 0
Chatham 1
Aylesbury United 4
Faversham -
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Guernsey FC 0
South Park 2
Sudbury -
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Thurrock 1
Bowers & Pitsea 2
Horsham FC 2
Potters 0
Molesey 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Lewes 4
Tonbridge -
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Hornchurch 2
Ashford Town 3
Ware 3
Aylesbury Vale 1
Greenwich Borough 2
VCD Athletic 3
Grays -
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Wingate & Finchley -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich 2
Warrington Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Kendal 3
Goole 2
Blyth Spartans 8
Rushall 1
Halesowen 2
Buxton 2
Glossop North End 0
Stourbridge 1
King’s Lynn 2
Marine 4
Ashton United 0
Bedworth United 2
Neots 3
Hednesford 4
Stamford 1
Corby 0
Stafford 2
St Ives Town 4
Carlton Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
Leek Town 2
Shaw Lane 6
Frickley 2
Workington 3
Whitby 4
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Prescot Cables 1
Cambridge City 1
Redditch 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 5
Soham 3
Lancaster 1
Stocksbridge 2
Barwell 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
Mossley AFC 1
Farsley 3
Stratford 2
Grantham Town 6
Spennymoor 1
Matlock 2
Trafford 2
Bamber Bridge 0
Leamington 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Coalville Town 0
Gresley 2
Lincoln Utd. 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Witton Albion 4
Market Drayton 1
Kettering 5
Kings Langley 1
Heybridge 0
Canvey Island 2
Enfield Town 3
Bishops Cleeve 1
Banbury 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Taunton Town 5
Dunstable Town 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Wantage 0
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 3
Barnstaple Town 1
Staines 1
Basingstoke 4
Merthyr Town 6
Cinderford Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Cirencester 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Billericay 2
Brightlingsea 6
Metropolitan Police 2
Uxbridge 0
Harlow 1
Hanwell Town 2
Bury Town 1
Evesham 1
Frome Town 2
Chippenham Town 3
Salisbury 2
Hendon 0
Leiston 5
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lowestoft 1
Leatherhead 2
Chesham 3
Merstham 5
Waltham Abbey 0
Walton Casuals 2
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 5
Beaconsfield Town 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 1
FC Witham Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Hitchin 1
Folkestone 3
Cheshunt 1
Yate 1
North Leigh 6
Royston Town 6
Northwood 3
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
Needham Market 2
Wroxham 0
Herne Bay 2
Harrow Borough 5
Cray Wanderers 4
Marlow 0
Kempston 1
Worthing FC 3
Phoenix Sports 3
East Grinstead Town 2
Fleet Town 1
Winchester City 2
Hastings 4
Aylesbury United 0
Faversham 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Horsham FC 1
Romford 3
Kingstonian 2
Lewes 1
Tonbridge 7
Ashford Town 4
Ware 3
VCD Athletic 1
Grays 1
Wingate & Finchley 3
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Final
Nantwich 2
Kendal 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Halesowen 3
Buxton 1
King’s Lynn 3
Marine 5
Neots 3
Hednesford 2
Stafford 3
St Ives Town 2
Leek Town 1
Shaw Lane 3
Whitby 0
Ramsbottom Utd 4
Redditch 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Stocksbridge 5
Barwell 2
Farsley 3
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 2
Trafford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Lincoln Utd. 5
Witton Albion 2
Kettering 1
Kings Langley 1
Enfield Town 0
Bishops Cleeve 0
Taunton Town 1
Dunstable Town 1
Weymouth 4
Dorchester 0
Basingstoke 3
Merthyr Town 2
Slough Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Billericay 0
Brightlingsea 2
Harlow 3
Hanwell Town 0
Frome Town 1
Chippenham Town 0
Leiston 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chesham 0
Merstham 0
Hythe 3
Burgess Hill 4
Chalfont St Peter 3
Biggleswade Town 3
Hitchin 4
Folkestone 2
North Leigh 3
Royston Town 4
Wimborne 0
Needham Market 1
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Worthing FC 2
Phoenix Sports 1
Winchester City 3
Hastings 3
South Park 4
Sudbury 4
Romford 0
Kingstonian 3
Tonbridge 2
Ware 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
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